Bulgaria U21 vs Polonia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
67.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
LVA
0 - 0
BGR
18%
23%
59%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
BGR
0 - 1
SRB
19%
24%
57%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
BGR
0 - 0
RUS
12%
17%
71%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
EST
0 - 4
BGR
18%
23%
59%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
BGR
0 - 0
CYP
63%
22%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
POL
1 - 0
SRB
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
RUS
2 - 2
POL
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
POL
4 - 0
EST
83%
13%
4%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
LVA
0 - 1
POL
7%
14%
79%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
ESP
5 - 0
POL
73%
17%
11%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |