Bulgaria U19 vs Poland U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
42.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
BGR
1 - 5
SWE
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
UKR
5 - 1
BGR
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
ISR
2 - 1
BGR
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
SRB
1 - 0
BGR
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
BGR
0 - 1
UKR
15%
21%
64%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Poland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2015 |
BIH
2 - 0
POL
32%
25%
44%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
POL
2 - 4
UKR
26%
23%
51%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
MNE
2 - 1
POL
35%
24%
42%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
POL
2 - 1
NED
25%
23%
53%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
AND
0 - 3
POL
17%
22%
62%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | +1 |