Bulgaria U19 vs Luxembourg U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
IRL
2 - 1
BGR
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
SRB
3 - 0
BGR
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
ISL
3 - 2
BGR
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
BGR
1 - 2
BIH
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
BGR
1 - 1
NIR
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
LUX
0 - 3
SRB
12%
18%
69%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
IRL
5 - 0
LUX
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
LUX
1 - 2
MDA
42%
25%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
TUR
1 - 1
LUX
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
GER
3 - 0
LUX
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 72 | 31 | -1 |