Bulgaria U19 vs Iceland U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
BGR
2 - 3
ISL
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2004 |
NOR
3 - 1
BGR
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
AUT
2 - 0
BGR
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2003 |
BGR
7 - 0
SMR
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
LTU
1 - 0
BGR
45%
24%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Iceland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
BGR
2 - 3
ISL
53%
23%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2004 |
ISL
2 - 5
AUT
14%
20%
67%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
NOR
3 - 0
ISL
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2003 |
ISL
3 - 2
MDA
58%
22%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
ISR
2 - 1
ISL
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |