Nurafshon vs Pakhtakor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
69.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nurafshon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
NUR
3 - 1
YOZ
36%
23%
41%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
NUR
0 - 1
NAR
26%
25%
49%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
NUR
2 - 3
NBU
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
NUR
2 - 1
PAK
52%
23%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FKK
3 - 2
NUR
44%
23%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pakhtakor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
PAK
1 - 0
MET
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
MAS
3 - 0
PAK
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
PAK
0 - 1
DSA
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
NEF
0 - 0
PAK
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
PAK
3 - 1
QIZ
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +2 |