Buitenpost vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
66.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
13º
13º
68
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buitenpost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SDV
0 - 0
BUI
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BUI
2 - 5
VVS
15%
21%
65%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ROH
0 - 1
BUI
72%
17%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BUI
1 - 1
BER
20%
22%
58%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DET
1 - 2
BUI
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
EXC
3 - 0
HEI
80%
13%
7%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PEL
3 - 3
EXC
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
EXC
6 - 3
MAS
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
QUI
1 - 3
EXC
35%
24%
41%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
AZS
0 - 2
EXC
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +2 |