Bugesera vs Marines FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 1
BUG
51%
22%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BUG
0 - 2
MUK
38%
29%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
GFC
1 - 0
BUG
44%
22%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
BUG
0 - 1
RAY
37%
27%
36%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
ETI
0 - 0
BUG
37%
27%
37%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marines FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
POL
37%
28%
36%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 2
ASK
35%
29%
36%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MUK
1 - 0
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
GFC
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |