Bugesera vs APR FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
35.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
BUG
3 - 1
MAR
38%
26%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 1
BUG
51%
22%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BUG
0 - 2
MUK
38%
29%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
GFC
1 - 0
BUG
44%
22%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
BUG
0 - 1
RAY
37%
27%
36%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
APR FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
APR
1 - 0
RFC
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MUK
1 - 1
APR
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
APR
2 - 0
GFC
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
RAY
0 - 0
APR
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
APR
2 - 0
ETI
59%
23%
19%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |