Bugesera vs APR FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
GFC
3 - 2
BUG
50%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
BUG
1 - 3
POL
24%
28%
49%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -6 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
ESP
0 - 0
BUG
24%
26%
50%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
BUG
3 - 1
POL
22%
28%
50%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MUH
1 - 0
BUG
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
APR FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
MUH
1 - 3
APR
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
APR
2 - 1
GFC
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
APR
1 - 0
KIY
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -23 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
APR
1 - 0
KIY
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MUK
0 - 4
APR
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |