Buelna vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buelna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
CAY
0 - 1
BUE
55%
24%
22%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
BUE
0 - 2
BEZ
51%
24%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
COL
3 - 2
BUE
28%
25%
47%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
BUE
1 - 0
SAN
50%
23%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
RAY
1 - 0
BUE
63%
20%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
ESC
3 - 1
GAM
73%
17%
11%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ESC
1 - 1
CAY
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 1
ESC
35%
25%
41%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ESC
2 - 0
BEZ
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
PON
3 - 1
ESC
20%
22%
58%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -2 |