Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 1-4
Budućnost vs Zorya Luhansk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budućnost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
BUD
4 - 1
TRA
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
TRA
0 - 2
BUD
33%
26%
42%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
LOV
0 - 4
BUD
20%
26%
54%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
BUD
0 - 2
SUT
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
RUD
2 - 2
BUD
22%
30%
48%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
ZOR
3 - 1
ILL
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
PAK
1 - 1
ZOR
24%
24%
51%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
SLA
2 - 1
ZOR
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
HKS
1 - 1
ZOR
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
ILL
3 - 1
ZOR
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |