Budućnost vs Jezero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
10.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
10º
2º
43
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budućnost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
JED
0 - 1
BUD
21%
26%
54%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BUD
2 - 0
FKA
66%
19%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SUT
0 - 1
BUD
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BUD
2 - 1
RUD
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DEC
0 - 0
BUD
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Jezero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
JEZ
0 - 0
IKD
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
JEZ
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PET
2 - 1
JEZ
42%
28%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
JEZ
0 - 2
JED
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FKA
1 - 1
JEZ
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |