UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 1-7
Budućnost vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budućnost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
HJK
3 - 1
BUD
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
DEC
1 - 3
BUD
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
ZET
2 - 4
BUD
29%
27%
43%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
BUD
3 - 2
JEZ
70%
20%
11%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
IKD
1 - 1
BUD
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
HJK
3 - 1
BUD
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
HIF
0 - 1
HJK
24%
26%
51%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
HJK
2 - 0
KOO
79%
15%
7%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
HJK
2 - 1
ILV
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
IFK
0 - 1
HJK
14%
22%
65%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |