Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 5-1
Budućnost vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budućnost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 2
BUD
25%
25%
50%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
BUD
2 - 1
GRB
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
MLA
1 - 3
BUD
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
BUD
0 - 2
MOG
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SUT
0 - 1
BUD
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 2
BUD
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2014 |
FOL
0 - 2
FIO
25%
25%
51%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 3
COS
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -3 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 1
CAI
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SGI
0 - 5
FOL
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |