Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 3-4
Budućnost vs Flamurtari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budućnost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
BUD
3 - 0
SUT
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 2
BUD
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BUD
3 - 2
MOR
73%
17%
9%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BUD
2 - 1
RUD
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
ZET
2 - 2
BUD
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Flamurtari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 0
KFS
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
VLZ
3 - 0
FLA
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LAÇ
1 - 1
FLA
32%
29%
40%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 1
TIR
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
FLA
6 - 2
DIN
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |