UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 0-2
Budućnost vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
50.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budućnost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
BUD
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
BBL
2 - 2
BUD
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
JAV
1 - 0
BUD
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
BUD
4 - 1
JED
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
BUD
0 - 3
MLA
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
BUD
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 0
URA
63%
21%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
CSK
3 - 0
PAR
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
FCK
2 - 3
PAR
42%
26%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
KAP
80%
13%
7%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |