Budućnost vs Arsenal Tivat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
10º
2º
50
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budućnost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SUT
0 - 1
BUD
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BUD
2 - 1
RUD
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DEC
0 - 0
BUD
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BUD
3 - 3
PET
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BUD
0 - 1
IKD
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FKA
3 - 0
IKD
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
FKA
0 - 0
JED
45%
25%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
FKA
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FKA
1 - 1
JEZ
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
JED
2 - 2
FKA
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |