Budissa Bautzen vs Fortuna Chemnitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budissa Bautzen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DYN
1 - 1
BUD
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
BUD
2 - 1
LUC
54%
23%
24%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
WAG
0 - 0
BUD
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ERZ
3 - 0
BUD
46%
26%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
BUD
3 - 0
GRU
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Chemnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FCH
2 - 2
CHE
33%
25%
43%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
FCH
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LOK
0 - 1
FCH
61%
21%
19%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
FCH
1 - 1
VFL
46%
24%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
LUC
4 - 0
FCH
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |