Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 1-2
Budapest Honved vs Progrès Niederkorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
BUD
3 - 2
SZO
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
BUD
4 - 0
RAB
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
RAB
2 - 1
BUD
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
BUD
2 - 0
NIT
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
GAZ
2 - 1
BUD
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
PRO
0 - 1
FKQ
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
FKQ
0 - 2
PRO
43%
24%
33%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
PRO
4 - 2
RAC
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
USH
1 - 6
PRO
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
VIC
2 - 5
PRO
24%
24%
53%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |