Budapest Honved vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
48.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
BUD
4 - 0
BFC
81%
15%
5%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
UJP
1 - 1
BUD
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
FHV
3 - 0
BUD
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
BUD
0 - 2
FTC
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BUD
1 - 0
DVS
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
FTC
2 - 1
DIO
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FTC
3 - 1
SZO
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +4 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
UJP
0 - 1
FTC
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
BUD
0 - 2
FTC
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FTC
0 - 0
FHV
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |