Scottish Cup 1/128
Global 5-2
Buckie Thistle vs Cumbernauld Colts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buckie Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 1
BUC
8%
14%
79%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 0
BUC
52%
22%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ICT
4 - 0
BUC
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 5
BUC
43%
22%
35%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
BUC
2 - 2
FRA
26%
23%
51%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cumbernauld Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 1
BUC
8%
14%
79%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 2
BFC
23%
21%
56%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
EAS
0 - 2
CUM
82%
12%
5%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 0
CUM
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BER
5 - 1
CUM
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |