Buchbach vs Unterhaching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
63.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
BUC
3 - 0
BAY
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
WAC
3 - 0
BUC
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BUC
0 - 0
SEL
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
ILL
2 - 2
BUC
62%
21%
18%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BUC
2 - 5
NUR
32%
26%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Unterhaching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
UNT
2 - 0
WAC
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
BAY
2 - 2
UNT
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
SEL
0 - 0
UNT
13%
20%
67%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
UNT
5 - 0
ILL
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
NUR
1 - 4
UNT
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |