Buchbach vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
49.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
NUR
2 - 1
BUC
67%
19%
15%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
BUC
2 - 0
ILL
66%
18%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
AUG
2 - 2
BUC
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
BUC
2 - 0
ROS
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
MEM
1 - 1
BUC
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
BAY
4 - 0
MEM
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
VRG
1 - 1
BAY
11%
18%
72%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BAY
1 - 1
VIK
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
BAY
6 - 1
SCH
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
HEI
0 - 3
BAY
26%
22%
52%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |