Buchbach vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+109%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
WUR
2 - 1
BUC
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BUC
2 - 2
SCH
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
ISM
2 - 0
BUC
71%
16%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BUC
3 - 4
GRO
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
BAY
4 - 0
BUC
57%
22%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
BAY
1 - 1
FTR
75%
16%
8%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
WUR
2 - 0
BAY
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
BAY
2 - 0
ING
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BAY
1 - 1
SCH
62%
21%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
HEI
1 - 2
BAY
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |