Bubendorf vs Liestal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
48.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
16º
15º
34
4º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bubendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PRA
4 - 3
BUB
48%
21%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BBB
2 - 1
BUB
69%
16%
15%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BUB
1 - 1
FCP
27%
20%
53%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
OLD
6 - 2
BUB
74%
14%
12%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BUB
2 - 2
DOR
35%
22%
44%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 4
BBB
44%
21%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCP
3 - 0
LIE
47%
21%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LIE
3 - 2
OLD
35%
22%
43%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 0
LIE
37%
22%
41%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 3
GUM
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |