Bubendorf vs Liestal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
62%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
13º
12º
46
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bubendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BIN
1 - 1
BUB
47%
21%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 3
BUB
60%
19%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BUB
1 - 8
CON
22%
19%
59%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 0
BUB
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
BUB
0 - 2
OLD
24%
20%
57%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LIE
1 - 0
ZOF
59%
20%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
LIE
2 - 0
MOU
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FCS
4 - 3
LIE
24%
19%
57%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
LIE
1 - 0
FCK
78%
13%
9%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LER
2 - 3
LIE
26%
21%
53%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |