Bubali vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+180%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bubali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 3
BUB
12%
15%
72%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
BUB
2 - 0
CAR
86%
10%
4%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
BUB
2 - 4
FAM
74%
15%
11%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2019 |
UFC
3 - 7
BUB
6%
12%
82%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
BUB
2 - 2
NAC
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
EST
3 - 3
NAC
22%
23%
56%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BRI
2 - 2
EST
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
EST
0 - 2
DAK
19%
22%
59%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 5
EST
16%
18%
66%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
EST
2 - 1
BRA
70%
16%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |