Bubali vs Caravel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
58.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+223%
-77%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
4º
2º
5
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
5 | 5 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bubali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 1
BUB
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
BUB
0 - 3
EST
23%
20%
57%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
6 - 0
BUB
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
BUB
0 - 3
BRI
10%
15%
75%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
BUB
82%
11%
7%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SVR
3 - 2
CAR
8%
12%
81%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ASF
1 - 2
CAR
77%
14%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 6
RCA
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 3
FAM
33%
23%
45%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
6 - 0
CAR
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |