BTS Neustadt vs TuS Komet Arsten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
12º
9º
19
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BTS Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
LEH
0 - 4
BTN
19%
20%
61%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
BTN
6 - 2
BRI
38%
22%
40%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TSS
1 - 2
BTN
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BTN
3 - 1
SVH
17%
19%
65%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BLU
1 - 2
BTN
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +3 |
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
TKA
2 - 3
WER
56%
20%
23%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 1
VAT
36%
23%
42%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
OSC
0 - 1
TKA
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TKA
3 - 1
WER
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GEE
4 - 2
TKA
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |