BTS Neustadt vs TuS Komet Arsten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
34.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
7º
16º
7º
24
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BTS Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VAT
4 - 2
BTN
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BTN
2 - 3
OSC
21%
20%
59%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WER
1 - 2
BTN
23%
21%
57%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BTN
1 - 1
GEE
21%
19%
60%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
OBE
5 - 0
BTN
67%
17%
16%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TKA
1 - 1
UNI
31%
22%
47%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LEH
5 - 1
TKA
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TKA
3 - 4
BRI
11%
15%
74%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TSS
1 - 2
TKA
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TKA
0 - 3
SVH
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |