BTS Neustadt vs SG Aumund-Vegesack analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.2%
40.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
16º
10º
40
9º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BTS Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GEE
4 - 0
BTN
61%
19%
20%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BTN
5 - 1
SVH
9%
14%
77%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +3 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
EHB
3 - 3
BTN
45%
20%
35%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BTN
3 - 3
TRB
45%
21%
34%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
6 - 0
BTN
29%
21%
50%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SGA
4 - 2
VAB
80%
12%
8%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SGA
2 - 1
OBE
39%
20%
42%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GEE
4 - 1
SGA
55%
19%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SGA
1 - 3
SVH
18%
18%
64%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
EHB
4 - 1
SGA
20%
17%
63%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |