BTS Neustadt vs OSC Bremerhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
59.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
7º
16º
7º
60
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BTS Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WER
1 - 2
BTN
23%
21%
57%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BTN
1 - 1
GEE
21%
19%
60%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
OBE
5 - 0
BTN
67%
17%
16%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BTN
1 - 3
SGA
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BTN
2 - 2
WOL
16%
19%
66%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
OSC Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OSC
3 - 2
UNI
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OSC
2 - 2
BRI
17%
18%
65%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TSS
1 - 4
OSC
57%
18%
25%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
OSC
3 - 2
SVH
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BLU
3 - 2
OSC
30%
21%
50%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |