BTS Neustadt vs Geestemünde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
56.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
16º
10º
60
1º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BTS Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SVH
4 - 3
BTN
88%
8%
4%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BTN
0 - 3
BRI
31%
23%
47%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
TRB
2 - 1
BTN
35%
21%
44%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BTN
1 - 3
WOL
62%
19%
20%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BLU
5 - 4
BTN
44%
21%
35%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
SGA
2 - 4
GEE
34%
22%
44%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
GEE
0 - 3
SVH
19%
19%
62%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
GEE
3 - 4
EHB
71%
16%
13%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
TRB
3 - 1
GEE
12%
14%
73%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
GEE
1 - 1
BRI
63%
18%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |