BSV Rehden vs St. Pauli II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
9º
16º
16º
51
1º
17º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
47 | 47 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 45 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
43 | 43 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
40 | 40 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
15 | 15 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSV Rehden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
WER
0 - 3
BSV
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
BRE
3 - 1
BSV
74%
15%
11%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCP
2 - 1
BSV
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
BSV
1 - 1
HOL
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BOR
3 - 0
BSV
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ADF
3 - 2
STP
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
STP
3 - 3
BWL
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
STP
3 - 1
DRO
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
WER
2 - 0
STP
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
FCP
1 - 3
STP
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |