BSG Wismut Aue vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
49.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1973 |
MAG
2 - 1
BWA
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1973 |
BFC
3 - 1
BWA
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1973 |
BWA
2 - 4
SGD
25%
28%
47%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1973 |
MAG
3 - 0
BWA
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1973 |
BWA
1 - 2
CZJ
26%
28%
46%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1973 |
SGD
1 - 1
FVF
83%
10%
7%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1973 |
SGD
2 - 1
CHE
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1973 |
BWA
2 - 4
SGD
25%
28%
47%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1973 |
SGD
4 - 2
ZWI
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1973 |
ERF
4 - 2
SGD
24%
29%
48%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |