Bryntirion Athletic vs Newport YMCA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bryntirion Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
BRY
5 - 4
CRO
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
BRY
1 - 2
PON
38%
25%
38%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
BAR
0 - 3
BRY
50%
23%
28%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
BRY
2 - 0
BRI
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
BRY
2 - 4
PON
45%
24%
30%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -3 |
Matches
Newport YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
NWP
0 - 1
DIN
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
TAF
2 - 2
NWP
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
CAR
4 - 0
NWP
27%
25%
49%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -3 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
NWP
2 - 2
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 3
NWP
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |