Bryntirion Athletic vs Neath Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
58.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bryntirion Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
BRY
1 - 2
TAF
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
ERA
0 - 3
BRY
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
MAE
2 - 0
BRY
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
BRY
4 - 2
NWP
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
BRY
5 - 4
CRO
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Neath Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 4
NEA
12%
19%
69%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
TAF
3 - 1
NEA
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 1
NEA
11%
19%
70%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 5
NEA
21%
23%
55%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
NEA
6 - 0
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | -1 |