Bryntirion Athletic vs Cwmaman Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bryntirion Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
BRY
4 - 1
CAE
81%
13%
7%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
PON
3 - 2
BRY
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
TAF
0 - 1
BRY
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BRY
1 - 1
AFC
52%
23%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
4 - 0
BRY
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cwmaman Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CWM
0 - 3
BRI
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
HAV
3 - 1
CWM
63%
20%
18%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CWM
5 - 0
CAE
60%
21%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CWM
1 - 2
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CWM
3 - 3
TON
44%
24%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |