Bryntirion Athletic vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bryntirion Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BRY
0 - 2
AFC
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
ABE
1 - 3
BRY
50%
22%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
HAV
1 - 0
BRY
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BRY
3 - 7
WES
45%
24%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
BRY
22%
22%
57%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
MON
17%
20%
63%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
TON
3 - 0
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
GOY
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
PON
2 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
BRY
22%
22%
57%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |