Bryntirion Athletic vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bryntirion Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
LID
2 - 0
BRY
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
BRY
2 - 0
CWM
73%
17%
11%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2008 |
NWP
2 - 1
BRY
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
BRY
5 - 0
NWP
46%
23%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
LID
1 - 1
BRY
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
NWP
2 - 3
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2008 |
GOY
3 - 0
CAR
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 0
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 3
MAE
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
CWM
1 - 2
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |