Bryntirion Athletic vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bryntirion Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
BRY
1 - 3
GOY
17%
22%
62%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
DIN
2 - 1
BRY
52%
24%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 2
BRY
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 1
BRY
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
BRY
1 - 4
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 0
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
BRI
2 - 2
CAR
64%
20%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
7 - 1
MAE
27%
25%
48%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +5 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
NEA
5 - 0
CAR
85%
11%
4%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 2
BRY
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |