Bryntirion Athletic vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bryntirion Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
BRI
0 - 3
BRY
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
LID
3 - 1
BRY
48%
26%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
BRY
2 - 1
ERA
72%
16%
11%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
BRY
5 - 2
BAR
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
TAF
1 - 0
BRY
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 0
DIN
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
CAR
2 - 1
ERA
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
NEA
6 - 1
CAR
80%
14%
6%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
BFC
2 - 0
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |