Bryntirion Athletic vs AFC Porth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bryntirion Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
4 - 0
BRY
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
TNS
6 - 0
BRY
87%
9%
4%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CWM
1 - 0
BRY
23%
22%
56%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CWM
1 - 3
BRY
29%
23%
48%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BRY
0 - 1
PON
70%
18%
13%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Porth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 2
PON
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
HAV
2 - 0
AFC
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
AFC
4 - 3
CAM
29%
23%
48%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
AFC
3 - 1
ABE
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CAE
3 - 7
AFC
35%
24%
42%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |