Brusque vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
BRU
3 - 1
XVD
33%
30%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
OPE
1 - 0
BRU
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
JEC
0 - 1
BRU
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 1
INT
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
LIT
2 - 1
BRU
15%
18%
66%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 0
OPE
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
XVD
1 - 0
SAO
73%
18%
9%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRE
8%
18%
75%
|
44 | 83 | 39 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VER
1 - 1
SAO
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 3
ECS
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |