Brusque vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 0
BRU
8%
15%
77%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BRU
2 - 0
BAR
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 0
BRU
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 0
CRB
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
BRU
2 - 2
NOV
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
CHA
18%
24%
58%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
HER
35%
28%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
HER
0 - 0
FFL
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
FFL
1 - 0
HER
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
AVA
3 - 0
HER
74%
18%
8%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |