Brusque vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 0
BRU
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
BRU
6 - 1
MET
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 0
BRU
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
BRU
1 - 1
ATL
10%
17%
73%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BRU
2 - 3
CHA
12%
21%
67%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
CRI
3 - 1
HER
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
TUB
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
HER
0 - 2
MAR
36%
27%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
FFL
3 - 1
HER
78%
16%
6%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
HER
83%
14%
3%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |