Brusque vs Hercílio Luz analysis

Brusque Hercílio Luz
52 ELO 46
-6.6% Tilt -12.6%
863º General ELO ranking 2494º
43º Country ELO ranking 72º
ELO win probability
56.4%
Brusque
23.4%
Draw
20.2%
Hercílio Luz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
Brusque
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.2%
Win probability
Hercílio Luz
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brusque
-3%
-14%
Hercílio Luz

ELO progression

Brusque
Hercílio Luz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brusque
Brusque
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2019
JEC
Joinville
1 - 0
Brusque
BRU
48%
25%
27%
52 54 2 0
21 Feb. 2019
BRU
Brusque
6 - 1
Metropolitano
MET
52%
24%
24%
52 47 5 0
17 Feb. 2019
AVA
Avaí
0 - 0
Brusque
BRU
77%
16%
7%
51 74 23 +1
13 Feb. 2019
BRU
Brusque
1 - 1
Atlético GO
ATL
10%
17%
73%
51 70 19 0
09 Feb. 2019
BRU
Brusque
2 - 3
Chapecoense
CHA
12%
21%
67%
51 78 27 0

Matches

Hercílio Luz
Hercílio Luz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2019
CRI
Criciúma
3 - 1
Hercílio Luz
HER
72%
18%
10%
48 63 15 0
24 Feb. 2019
HER
Hercílio Luz
1 - 1
CA Tubarão
TUB
33%
26%
41%
47 51 4 +1
17 Feb. 2019
HER
Hercílio Luz
0 - 2
Marcílio Dias
MAR
36%
27%
38%
48 52 4 -1
09 Feb. 2019
FFL
Figueirense
3 - 1
Hercílio Luz
HER
78%
16%
6%
49 69 20 -1
02 Feb. 2019
CHA
Chapecoense
2 - 1
Hercílio Luz
HER
83%
14%
3%
49 78 29 0