Brusque vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 0
BRU
23%
27%
51%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
CSA
1 - 0
BRU
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BRU
3 - 2
FFL
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
BRU
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BRU
1 - 1
CAM
66%
22%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 0
BRU
23%
27%
51%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CAC
1 - 0
JEC
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAC
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AVA
1 - 0
CAC
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 0
HER
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |