Brusque vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
30.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
PPE
2 - 0
BRU
42%
27%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
BRU
2 - 0
CSA
32%
30%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SAM
3 - 1
BRU
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 0
BRU
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 0
GUA
38%
28%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 2
CRZ
31%
30%
39%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 3
CHA
28%
30%
42%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
VAS
33%
29%
38%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 1
CHA
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
ITU
38%
30%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |