Brusque vs Caxias Joinville FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 1
BRU
33%
24%
43%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
MET
2 - 2
BRU
41%
24%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
BRU
1 - 1
CRI
40%
23%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
JEC
1 - 2
BRU
46%
23%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
BRU
4 - 3
JEC
48%
23%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
CAX
2 - 2
MET
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CRI
7 - 0
CAX
40%
23%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
CAX
1 - 1
JEC
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAX
17%
21%
62%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2006 |
CAX
0 - 3
MAR
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | -2 |