Brunnen vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
69.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brunnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 0
BRU
75%
14%
11%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BRU
1 - 0
IBA
37%
23%
40%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
TAV
3 - 0
BRU
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BRU
3 - 4
PER
41%
23%
37%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
BRU
0 - 1
LUZ
60%
20%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
HER
3 - 0
FCA
72%
15%
13%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 3
HER
19%
19%
62%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
WIL
74%
14%
12%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 3
HER
21%
19%
61%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
HER
42%
22%
36%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |